Campaign and Election News – Covering Key Races Around the Country
Weekly Open Thread: What Races Are You Interested In?
76 thoughts on “Weekly Open Thread: What Races Are You Interested In?”
is where the action will be. Bleeding Heartland user ragbrai08 put together a phenomenal diary this week analyzing three possible Congressional maps for Iowa with only four districts.
I live in North Carolina and I think that Burr is in serious trouble come 2010. In terms of polling, he is doing worse than Dole was at this point in 2007, and he has an approval/disapproval of 35/32. Not a good sign for a GOP incumbent from a newly blue state…
I’d like to see Attorney General Roy Cooper get into the race, but I think Elaine Marshall would also make a good candidate. But Kay Hagan was seen as a dark horse in 2008 and she surprised everyone, so I think we’ll end up with a good candidate whoever it is.
I think this race is under the radar and that it will be one of our best pickup opportunities next year.
The Mayor or Palm Springs running is a very nice recruit to have.
Months after her district favored President Obama for president, Republican Rep. Mary Bono Mack appears to have drawn an experienced Democratic challenger for her 2010 re-election bid: Democrat Steve Pougnet, mayor of Palm Springs.
Pougnet recently filed a statement of candidacy with the Federal Election Commission and established a campaign committee to run against the six-term incumbent.
Bono Mack’s southern California 45th District, which encompasses the cities of Palm Springs and Moreno Valley, has past exhibited a Republican lean, supporting Bono Mack for re-election and President Bush with 56 percent of the vote in 2004. But in 2008, while Bono Mack won re-election over Democratic educator Julie Bornstein with 58 percent, district voters favored Barack Obama 52 percent to 47 percent, according to a CQ vote analysis. Bono Mack is one of 34 “Obama Republicans” who won re-election in 2008 in districts carried by Obama.
Bono Mack was first elected in a 1998 special election to replace her husband, former entertainer Sonny Bono, who was killed in a skiing accident. Bono married Florida Republican Rep. Connie Mack in 2007.
Pougnet was elected mayor in 2007 after serving on the city council.
Seeing as California uses incumbent protection as the primary factor in its redistricting, how will these changes affect the 2012 map? Will they have to make those districts more Republican as a result?
I’m just going to keep repeating this until someone legit decides to run on our side. Obama won the district and VA is a blue-ing state. No reason to hesitate here.
I have a question for all the redistricting junkies out there.
If Judy Chu wins the special election in CA-32 (and survives any further primary challenges), could the California Legislature convert CA-32 from a Hispanic majority to an Asian plurality (taking chunks out of CA-26 & CA-29) without running array with the VRA? What if they convert a nearby district to Hispanic majority (the most obvious choice for that being CA-44, which is almost there already and especially if Bill Heindrick win here that would help him a lot)? Also, two districts have shifted from White plurality to Hispanic plurality since 2000, CA-17 & CA-21, and then definitely CA-27 and maybe CA-23 will be there by 2010, so maybe they’re covered to unpack it?
1. id-1 (minnick) i dont think sali will get the nod and im afraid that hell fall to ne one else
2. al-2 (bright) wicked repub district and a large bench to pull from
3. co-4 (markey) ran against a nut job and yea she pulled a 12-pointer, but they got a deep bench
4. oh-1 (driehaus) depended heavily on black turnout
5. va-5 (perriello) re: co-4, only much closer
6. md-1 (kratovil) harris is young and could give him a run for his money in a rematch
7. ny-29 (massa) ny is a hard core blue state now, but a moderate could take it back
8. nm-2 (teague) hopefully teague will work the fact that pearce jumped ship on his district and now wants back in
9. fl-8 (grayson) florida will forever b a bitterly fought battleground, this is where the gop will go for this time round
10. ms-1 (childers) the south is more apt to cross ballot vote, but till childers becomes entrenched like taylor, hell have a target on his back
is where the action will be. Bleeding Heartland user ragbrai08 put together a phenomenal diary this week analyzing three possible Congressional maps for Iowa with only four districts.
Oh yeah, and Grassley will have a challenger in 2010, but sadly I don’t think this will turn into a “race to watch” anytime soon.
I live in North Carolina and I think that Burr is in serious trouble come 2010. In terms of polling, he is doing worse than Dole was at this point in 2007, and he has an approval/disapproval of 35/32. Not a good sign for a GOP incumbent from a newly blue state…
I’d like to see Attorney General Roy Cooper get into the race, but I think Elaine Marshall would also make a good candidate. But Kay Hagan was seen as a dark horse in 2008 and she surprised everyone, so I think we’ll end up with a good candidate whoever it is.
I think this race is under the radar and that it will be one of our best pickup opportunities next year.
The Mayor or Palm Springs running is a very nice recruit to have.
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/ey…
Seeing as California uses incumbent protection as the primary factor in its redistricting, how will these changes affect the 2012 map? Will they have to make those districts more Republican as a result?
I’m just going to keep repeating this until someone legit decides to run on our side. Obama won the district and VA is a blue-ing state. No reason to hesitate here.
I have a question for all the redistricting junkies out there.
If Judy Chu wins the special election in CA-32 (and survives any further primary challenges), could the California Legislature convert CA-32 from a Hispanic majority to an Asian plurality (taking chunks out of CA-26 & CA-29) without running array with the VRA? What if they convert a nearby district to Hispanic majority (the most obvious choice for that being CA-44, which is almost there already and especially if Bill Heindrick win here that would help him a lot)? Also, two districts have shifted from White plurality to Hispanic plurality since 2000, CA-17 & CA-21, and then definitely CA-27 and maybe CA-23 will be there by 2010, so maybe they’re covered to unpack it?
1. id-1 (minnick) i dont think sali will get the nod and im afraid that hell fall to ne one else
2. al-2 (bright) wicked repub district and a large bench to pull from
3. co-4 (markey) ran against a nut job and yea she pulled a 12-pointer, but they got a deep bench
4. oh-1 (driehaus) depended heavily on black turnout
5. va-5 (perriello) re: co-4, only much closer
6. md-1 (kratovil) harris is young and could give him a run for his money in a rematch
7. ny-29 (massa) ny is a hard core blue state now, but a moderate could take it back
8. nm-2 (teague) hopefully teague will work the fact that pearce jumped ship on his district and now wants back in
9. fl-8 (grayson) florida will forever b a bitterly fought battleground, this is where the gop will go for this time round
10. ms-1 (childers) the south is more apt to cross ballot vote, but till childers becomes entrenched like taylor, hell have a target on his back
thoughts? comments? constructive criticism?
WTF.